GAD collaborated with UKHSA to apply actuarial modelling to pandemic preparedness, examining how uncertainty in vaccine development and related factors could influence response decisions and economic impact. 1,2

GAD used actuarial modelling to assess uncertainty and risk in pandemic preparedness in collaboration with UKHSA. 2

The modelling explored how vaccine development uncertainty could affect decision-making and potential economic consequences of pandemic responses. 1

2026-10-19: GAD modelling explored uncertainty in vaccine development and its potential impact on pandemic response decisions and economics. 1

2026-10-21: GAD modelling supported pandemic preparedness work in collaboration with UKHSA to test actuarial modelling for assessing uncertainty and risk. 2

The reports

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1GAD uses actuarial modelling to support pandemic preparedness

GAD modelling explored how uncertainty in vaccine development could affect pandemic response decisions and their economic impact.

GOV.UK news and announcements
2GAD modelling supports pandemic preparedness work

GAD worked with UKHSA to test how actuarial modelling can help assess uncertainty and risk in pandemic preparedness.

GOV.UK news and announcements

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